"The L-G will first explore all options for government formation," Union home minister Sushilkumar Shinde said on Monday. A senior home ministry official said the L-G would invite BJP — and then AAP, if BJP declines — to form the government. If both refuse, Jung may send a report to the ministry recommending central rule.
That prospect looked almost inescapable on Monday, with the BJP asserting that it would not try to lure away MLAs belonging to other parties. "It is our considered decision not to seek to split a party", said BJP president Rajnath Singh.
Winning over two-thirds of the MLAs of AAP or Congress would have been a tough task anyway, but Singh's public assertion virtually snuffs out the prospect of formation of a popular government after the historic December 4 election
Sources in the BJP said the central leadership has instructed its leaders in Delhi not to flirt with people who promise to deliver the numbers. "There is no way they can deliver. Rather, the risk is they could be a part of a sting operation being plotted by our opponents," said a senior party leader.
AAP too reiterated that it would sit in the opposition. Party convener Arvind Kejriwal told TOI, "The onus to form a government is on the BJP. They should...form the government with Congress support. Our stand remains the same; we will sit in opposition."
The term of the incumbent Delhi assembly ends on December 17. The election commission is expected to notify the 70-member assembly elected by Delhi by Tuesday. After that, the L-G's role in government formation will begin.
The just-concluded election cost the exchequer an estimated Rs 40 crore and was conducted with the involvement of more than 1 lakh staff and police personnel.
The coyness being displayed by major parties on forming a government is quite unprecedented. Political pundits said parties normally rush to stake claim in such a situation and get down to number crunching to make the cut.
"I am very clear I don't have the numbers, so how can I stake claim to form a government?" Harsh Vardhan, BJP's chief ministerial candidate, told TOI. He added that a meeting of the party's 31 elected MLAs had been called on Tuesday.
AAP held a meeting with its 28 elected MLAs on Monday evening. The brainstorming session continued for hours legislators, after which Kejriwal reiterated that AAP would neither take nor extend support to any party.
On the eight-member Congress exploring the option of extending support to AAP from outside, AICC general secretary Shakeel Ahmad said after a meeting with party president Sonia Gandhi, "This is a matter which is not in discussion right now."
There are precedents of President's rule being imposed in states soon after elections. In 2002, Uttar Pradesh was put under central rule barely two weeks after voters delivered a badly fractured verdict. However, it came to an end two months later, after the BSP and BJP agreed to tie up to form the government, with support from Independent MLAs and others.
A similar situation followed in Bihar in February 2005, when a three-way contest gave way to a hung assembly. The deadlock arose from the refusal of Lok Jan Shakti Party, which got 29 seats, to support either the Rashtriya Janata Dal or the Janata Dal (U)-BJP. Governor Buta Singh recommended imposition of President's rule, which continued for the next eight months. Fresh elections were held in November 2005, which paved the way for a JD(U)-BJP government in the state.
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